Simon Riggs <simon(at)2ndquadrant(dot)com> writes:
> The move right only occurs when the page is full, so the chance of
> moving right is not 0.99^250, but 0.99, since the previous 249 inserts
> would not cause a page split.
Sure, but given that we have a full page, the probability that 250
successive insertions *all* decide to move right rather than split
that page is 0.99^250. And it only takes one decision to split to
maintain the constant-time behavior. So I still think your analysis
is incorrect.
> IMHO the performance figures show this to be true.
*What* performance figures? You have shown none. We did do performance
testing of this algorithm when we adopted it, and it worked fine ---
though as I say, I don't think we tested with any very wide keys.
regards, tom lane